Monday, December 14th, 2009

[LINK] "Dubai for Borat? Bad Idea."

The New Republic's Seyward Darby writes about how the post-Soviet states Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan are trying to imitate the Dubai model, despite everything that has happened of late.

Turkmenistan, which ranks up with Burma and North Korea as one of the most appallingly totalitarian countries on earth and which only recently opened its doors to foreign investors, is building Avaza, a $5 billion resort complex on the Caspian Sea. Set for completion in 2020, a goal that's remained intact despite the global recession, Avaza will include high-rise hotels, sports facilities, conference centers, and, of course, a man-made island (which, when seen from the air, will resemble a crab--President Gurbanguly Berdymuhamedov's zodiac sign). As the project was just getting started in early 2008, a government press release outlined the vision for Avaza's opulence:

Pleasure boats will furrow the river with the original bridges thrown across. Restaurants, cafes, sports grounds and footpaths will be constructed on the river banks. The river and lakes will be located in the natural hollows blended well with the local landscape. The lakes will surround the cozy beaches and when the gale will rage throughout the sea tourists can swim in the calm lakes.


Similarly, Kazakhstan is building Aktau-City, which will cost $38 billion and, like Avaza, will be completed by 2020. Construction of hotels and shopping malls is currently underway, and the complex already boasts, interestingly, an academic showpiece: Caspian State University of Technology and Engineering, which opened earlier this year.

So how do Avaza and Aktau-City seem to be faring thus far, in the less-than-stellar economic climate? Not well.

Avaza had trouble filling guestrooms after the first hotels opened this summer and fall. “[T]he ministries in Ashgabat received orders to select staff to be sent to spend a few nights in the five-star hotels. Some had to pay the hotel bills from their own pocket,” Farid Tuhbatullin, the head of the Turkmen Initiative for Human Rights, recently told Transitions Online, a news website that covers Central Asia. It doesn't help that Turkmenistan also has short summers--meaning, beach-going in February won't work as well as it does in Dubai--and an archaic visa process, or that it borders those havens of stability, Iran, Afghanistan, and Uzbekistan. And Aktau-City has some, er, environmental hazards to consider: According to the website Eurasianet, "[R]adioactive waste from Aktau’s disused Chemical Ore Mining and Smelting Complex has gathered [nearby]." What's more, in attracting investors and tourists, both Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan must contend with bad international reputations--the former's being worse than the latter's--on human rights, corruption, and other governance issues.
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Thursday, September 3rd, 2009

[DM] "On Central Asian migration"

Over at Demography Matters I've a post up taking a look at the phenomenon of post-Soviet Central Asian migration to Russia, with a particular concentration on Tajikistan.
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Wednesday, September 2nd, 2009

[LINK] "Recalling the good old Soviet Union"

Inter Press Service's Zoltán Dujisin goes to eastern Tajikistan, the Gorno-Badakhshan region, one of the poorest regions in one of the poorest countries in the world, and finds that the residents of this region are positively--and understandable--nostalgic for the Soviet Union.

The country of seven million went from being the poorest Soviet republic to being one of the world's poorest nations. Independence brought the end of state farms, mines, irrigation channels, transport networks and energy plants.

Some Western analysts celebrate the locals' return to "ancestral traditions", but many adapting to the realities of the free market see it quite differently.

"I wouldn't be here if I didn't have to," says Timurbek, formerly a Russian philologist and now a pensioner who has taken to animal husbandry. "Before, nomadism was a matter of choice, now it's one of necessity," he told IPS.

Timurbek set up his yurt, a big tent made of wool and with an interior richly decorated with wall coverings, horse bags and carpets, on one of the few grassy fields left on the Pamir's high plateaus, at an altitude of 4,100 metres.

The Pamirs lie mostly in the Gorno Badakhsan province. The province is home to a mere 3 percent of Tajikistan's population - little more than 210,000 - but which constitutes almost half the country's territory.

The Pamirs are among the highest mountain ranges in the world, with altitudes ranging from 3,000 to 7,500 metres. Extreme climatic conditions make this one of the least densely populated areas on the planet.


Living conditions are dire.

"Under the Soviets we had all sorts of food in the shops, cheap fuel, buses and roads in good shape," says Aziz, a semi-nomadic farmer at the yurt camp, as his wife quietly runs a rudimentary machine producing butter and yoghurt from Yak milk.

"It doesn't mean we liked Stalin, but everyone here misses the Soviet Union," Aziz, a Kyrgyz of Sunni Muslim confession told IPS. "We couldn't practice our religion freely, but there was food and work."

[. . .]

At Murgab's "bazaar", where people often cover their faces with veils as strong winds lift clouds of dust, shopping choices are limited to imported cookies, bread, chocolate bars and mostly expired fish and meat cans sold at exorbitant prices.

The poverty affects education; some children do not go to school because their parents cannot afford school material and uniforms.

Fuel is scarce, and locals are forced to use the scarcely available tersken bush to heat households, leading to desertification.


Remittances from migration to Russia, permanent or otherwise, might be the only things keeping the country afloat.
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Thursday, July 16th, 2009

[BRIEF NOTE] On Turkey and the Uighurs

In Tuesday's Globe and Mail, Frank Ching observed ("Why the West is silent on rioting in Xinjiang") that Western countries were generally uninterested in taking a stand on the recent riots there.

Last year, Western countries put pressure on Beijing to hold a dialogue with representatives of the Dalai Lama, with French President Nicolas Sarkozy even threatening to boycott the Beijing Olympics if China refused. Beijing's protestations that Tibet was an internal Chinese affair were disregarded.

This time, however, the Western response is muted. The United States has adopted a mild tone, with President Barack Obama merely calling on all parties in Xinjiang “to exercise restraint.” The European Union has gone even further, taking the position that violence in Xinjiang “is a Chinese issue, not a European issue.” Serge Abou, the Eu's ambassador to China, said Europe also had its problems with minorities and “we would not like other governments to tell us what is to be done.”

While there are similarities between events last year in Tibet and those in Xinjiang this month, the world has changed: China is now seen as an indispensable partner of the United States and Europe, both of which are facing a financial crisis. Beijing's diplomatic assistance in resolving the Iranian and North Korean nuclear issues is also seen as too important to put in jeopardy.


The countries that were interested in critizing China were Muslim, most especially Turkey.

What reaction there has been came mainly from Muslim countries. The Saudi-based Organization of the Islamic Conference, which represents 57 Muslim governments, condemned what it called the excessive use of force against Uyghur civilians. At least 184 people, both Uyghurs and Han Chinese, have been killed.

The OIC statement declared: “The Islamic world is expecting from China, a major and responsible power in the world arena with historical friendly relations with the Muslim world, to deal with the problem of Muslim minority in China in broader perspective that tackles the root causes of the problem.”

The country that has taken the strongest position is Turkey, whose people share linguistic, religious and cultural links with the Uyghurs. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan actually went so far as to characterize what has happened as “a kind of genocide” and said his country would bring the matter up in the United Nations Security Council.


Calling a series of riots that reportedly killed two hundred people of various ethnicities "a kind of genocide" is a bit much, and is more than a bit funny given Turkey's own relationship to actual actsof genocide. Mind, the numbers don't seem especially significant, involving thousands of people in a country with tens of millions of inhabitants.

Thousands of Turks and Uyghur expatriates took to the streets across Turkey after Friday prayers, protesting the violence in Xinjiang and burning Chinese flags and products, AFP photographers and media reports said.

The biggest of the demonstrations was at Istanbul's Fatih Mosque, where an estimated 5,000 people gathered and said prayers for members of the Uyghur community who lost their lives in the ethnic unrest in Xinjiang, the NTV news channel said.

"No to ethnic cleansing!" chanted the crowd, waving the Uyghur flag depicting a white crescent on a blue background, as some protestors set fire to Chinese flags and goods produced in China.

Some 200 people attended similar prayers at Istanbul's Beyazit mosque at the call of a Turkey-based Uyghur association and Turkish nationalist groups, after which they held a brief demonstration, shouting "Murderer China", an AFP photgrapher said.


That said, Turkey does have a strong interest in Xinjiang, inasmuch as Turks and Xinjiang's Uyghurs both speak Turkic languages. Early in the 20th century among the Turks of the collapsing Ottoman Empire, Pan-Turkism was a popular ideology, serving to justify a reorientation of Turks away from Europe and towards areas of the Caucasus and Central Asia populated by peoples speaking related Turkic languages: Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, perhaps even Tatarstan and the Uyghur lands in Xinjiang. This failed, as the consolidation of the Soviet state and the weakness of the Turkish state in the 1920s combined to make Pan-Turkism a dangerous ideology. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Turkey promptly reopened relations, this time apparently hoping not to dominate but rather to cooperate, but with mixed results. Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan switched scripts from Cyrillic to Latin, for instance, but Turkey just wasn't a powerful enough force in Central Asia relative to a dynamic China and a Russia with a long history and all manner of links with Central Asia. Even Turkey's historically close relationship with Azerbaijan has been threatened by the ongoing Turkish-Armenian rapprochement. Hugh Pope, author of Sons of the Conquerors, a book on the Turkic world, expects a consolidation of these countries to take place only slowly. Expecting Turkey to exert any influence in Xinjiang, now, is completely unrealistic. Turkey has aspirations, but not the means.
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Friday, March 6th, 2009

[LINK] Some Friday links


  • Acts of Minor Treason's Andrew Barton worries about the effect of Kindle and other E-book technologies on ready and free access to information.

  • James Bow reports on the discovery of a Berkshire pond filled with Daleks.

  • Broadsides' Antonia Zerbisias reports on a slew of excommunications visited by a Roman Catholic archbishop in Brazil on people who helped a child rape victim procure an abortion in order to (among other things) save her life.

  • Centauri Dreams points out that for most of Earth's history, it was a decidedly uninteresting world, battered by cosmic catastrophes and home to uninteresting life. Also, the minor planet Ceres might be a potential home for life.

  • City of Brass examines the emerging new trend of identifying Hindu-born/actively Roman Catholic Bobby Jindal as a secret Muslim.

  • Daniel Drezner points out that China can rise and crash at the same time: Look at the United States in the late 19th century.
  • A Fistful of Euros' Douglas Muir points out that the sharp recession in central and eastern Europe, by discouraging the relatively small cohort of young women from becoming mothers, will only accentuate the long-term trends toward sharp population decline.

  • Gideon Rachman reiterates his support for some kind of world governance given world problems.

  • The Invisible College's Tobias Thienel explores the question of what a country is to do if it faces mutually confliciting obligations in international law.

  • Marginal Revolution points to research suggesting that economic inequality in Latin America is actually of quite recent vintage.

  • Over at Normblog, Jeff Weintraub explores the possible and probable future of federalism in Iraq.

  • Passing Strangeness' [info]pauldrye blogs about the search for an Australian inland sea and the use of cannons for spaceflight.

  • Registan reports on the possibility that Lake Balkhash, Kazakhstan's largest body of water, might be about to disappear thanks to the diversion of inflowing water.

  • Torontoist's Stephen Michalowicz reports on Islington station's ongoing decay.

  • Towleroad reports that, back in the early 1990s, most of the opponents of gays serving in the US military were acting in bad faith, dishonestly and whatnot.

  • Windows on Eurasia reports on how some Russian women, promised state aid as part of a recent pro-natalist campaign, are now seeking out abortions with the disappearance of state promises of help.

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Saturday, January 3rd, 2009

[LINK] Some Saturday Links

The first one of the year!

  • The Gaza conflict is big. Hunting Monsters pointing out that the terribly high population densities of the Gaza Strip are a direct product of the expulsion of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians to what was once a marginal territory. Gideon Rachman's blog, the Volokh Conspiracy, and 'Aqoul all have comment threads on the topic.

  • At Spacing, Dylan Reid wonders in "Losing a 'sense of place'" about the consequences for distinctive urban neighbourhoods of the spread of chain stores. I'm not so worried in that I think that each neighbourhood's particular configurations will be bound to differ, but then, I might be an optimist.

  • Slap Upside The Head reports the unsurprising news of a study revealing that GLBT teens whose parents react positively and constructively to their coming out of the closet do much better, psychologically at least, than their less fortunate peers.

  • Noel Maurer takes a look ("Taking the 'C' Levels") at the plans for a sea-level Panama Canal and why they never took off. (Hint: Fusion bombs make poor engineering tools.)

  • Window on Eurasia reports that Muslim labour migrants from Central Asia in the Russian Urals have formed a trade union, perhaps sigbnalling the growth of a pan-Muslim consciousness in Russia.

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Friday, June 20th, 2008

[LINK] Some Friday Links


  • Alpha Sources' Claus Vistesen warns about how rising inflation and exchange rate worries and falling credit ratings in Ukraine, besides promising bad things for that country, not only reflects wider trends in post-Communist Europe (Hungary and Romania are mentioned) but reflects a global environment in which central banks are trying to control inflation at the expense of growth.

  • Phil Hunt at Amused Cynicism favours the introduction of thoroughly critical and comparative religious study classes in school, if not for the same reasons that I would pick.

  • 'Aqoul's Shaheen writes about Saudi Arabia's abandonment of its ludicrous decades-old program of subsidizing wheat growing and exporting with precious reserves of non-renewable fossil water. Government subsidies to major business groups and families seems to be at least partly responsible for this program's survival.

  • blogTo is now releasing its paper maps of different Toronto neighbourhoods.

  • Over at Centauri Dreams, Larry Klaes and blog owner Paul Gilster talk at length about the possibilities of generation starships, massive manned spacecraft that would take centuries if not millennia to reach other planetary systems.

  • Daniel Drezner's blog examines the interesting topic of the growth of Chinese soft power. The comments area is quite active.

  • The Dragon's Tales takes a look at the geographical distribution of the five hundred fastest supercomputers. Surprisingly, Canada only has two, versus Slovenia's one.

  • Over at Hunting Monsters, Ian notes that the Israeli-Hamas truce doesn't seem like much of a truce and that the European Union is strengthening its Israeli ties regardless.

  • Joe. My. God reports that the usual suspects are upset with Katy Perry's hit song "I Kissed a Girl." Surprised?

  • According to Marginal Revolution, more sex is safe(r) sex.

  • Otto Pohl writes about the complicated problems facing Central Asians as they relate to their historical memories of the Stalinist era.

  • Pure Product of America celebrates gay marriage in California.

  • Danish coins can be very confusing for Canadians.

  • Spacing shows us the Royal Ontario Museum's new rooftop garden.
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Monday, April 24th, 2006

[LINK] The Sarts

Sergei Abashin's paper "The transformation of ethnic identity in Central Asia: a case study of the Uzbeks and Tajiks", published by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, examines the ways in which the Sarts of what is now post-Soviet central Asia to the Uzbeks as a consequence of Soviet nationbuilding policies. The confusion surrounding this population category demonstrates the truth that, in order to build a new nation, old groups must be destroyed.
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Sunday, March 26th, 2006

[BRIEF NOTE] Kyrgyzstan's Travails

One year after the revolution that drove out Kyrgyzstan's President Askar Akaev, news reports suggest that things are not going well for the landlocked Central Asian republic. Up to a tenth of Kyrgyzstan's population of five million are migrant workers, suplying funds for an impoverished Kyrgyzstan that amount to half the state budget, while a huge foreign debt that is now five times as large as that same state budget. Independence, whether as a democratic state or not, appears in Kyrgyzstan's to be unable to reverse this country's position of dependency.
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