Monday, August 31st, 2009

[LINK] "Iraqi Air Force Discovered!!!!!"

Lawyers, Guns and Money's Robert Farley linked to an unusual article from The New York Times.

Iraqi officials have discovered that they may have an air force, after all.

The Defense Ministry revealed Sunday that it recently learned that Iraq owns 19 Russian-designed MIG-21 and MIG-23 jet fighters, which are in storage in Serbia. The ministry said Iraqi officials are negotiating with the Serbs to restore the aircraft.

The Serbian government has tentatively promised to make two of the aircraft available “for immediate use,” according to a press release from the ministry. The rest would be restored on a rush basis, the ministry said.


Farley thinks that these planes, which will "constitute the entirety of the fighter capability of the Iraqi Air Force," will play a useful role in that these MiGs could keep the Iraqi Air Force trained and active. And no, the one hundred-odd fighters flown to Iran during the Gulf War are very unlikely to be returned.
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Friday, August 14th, 2009

[LINK] Some Friday links

Readers might notice that instead of posting my weekly links aggregation in the morning, I chose to post in the evening. What do you think of this choice?

Anyway, let's get down to business.


  • 3 Quarks Daily blogs about a worrying rumour that the founder of mercenary company Blackwater has been killing witnesses against him.

  • Andrew Barton at Acts of Minor Treason questions whether or not the modern world's predilection for safety is good or paralyzing.

  • Centauri Dreams reports on the search for fragments of the planetismal which hit Earth and so created the moon, a bizarrely large low-density gas giant, and evidence of a massive planetary collision a hundred light years away.

  • Far Outliers comments on the extent to which Xinjiang has been only loosely held by China.

  • Douglas Muir at A Fistful of Euros reports on the lawsuit lodged against a Greek journalist who documented a long history of complicity with Milosevic's Serbia and its atrocities, while Edward Lucas takes apart claims that rising HDI indices correspond to rising fertility rates.

  • Hunting Monsters examines the problems facing the near-country of Kosovo.

  • Joe. My. God lets us know that New York City coffeehouses are cracking down on WiFi users who just occupy space after their first cup.

  • Language Log considers
  • Lawyers, Guns and Money's Robert Farley reviews book examining Italy's disastrous performance in the First World War.

  • Marginal Revolution suggests that the discrepancies in life exptancies between the United States and countries with socialized medicine can be more than accounted for by better habits among non-Americans.

  • Slap Upside the Head announces that an Ontario political candidate who talked about the need to kill gay people was convicted of inciting hatred, and examines the claim of a Malaysian doctor that gay sex makes one more susceptible to swine flu.

  • Spacing Toronto's Shawn Micallef reminisces about the old Toronto beach area of Sunnyside.

  • Strange Maps features the first road map of the United Kingdom.

  • Towleroad points to the Crazy of many of the opponents to Obama's health-care plan.

  • Will Baird reports on a massive tropical storm on Saturn's atmosphere-heavy moon Titan.

  • Window on Eurasia reports on a children's book driven by Tatar nationalism.

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Friday, August 7th, 2009

[LINK] Some Friday links


  • 3 Quarks Daily's Robin Varghese wonders if Google is killing individuals' ability to recognize even basic things.

  • Andrew Barton at Acts of Minor Treason photographs the busiest highway in Canada, the 401, at its busiest.

  • 'Aqoul notes that Algeria's latest economic policies look very bad and that there were recently riots between Chinese migrants and Algerians.

  • blogTO's Derek identifies the most unsafe roads for cyclists in Toronto, with the commenters throwing in their own suggestions.

  • Daniel Drezner writes about the current system of international relations as if it was The Birthday Club.

  • Demography Matters' Aslak Berg writes about the very difficult situation faced by an arguably already overpopulated Yemen still seeing high population growth, and Claus links to a video on human evolution and wonders how sub-replacement fertility is evolutionarily adaptive.

  • Far Outliers links to an article arguing that where Indonesia is a successful emerging pluralistic democracy and economic power Burma is doing nearly the exact opposite.

  • A Fistful of Euros' Douglas Muir reports that the aftermath of the sale of Serbia's oil company to Gazprom is going as well as one could expect.

  • Hunting Monsters reports on the phantom country of Nagorno-Karabakh.

  • Inkless Wells' Paul Wells reports on the latest in a series of polls demonstrating that contrary to mythology, Québécois--especially Francophones--are more likely to support strict jail sentences for criminals that many English Canadians elsewhere.

  • Language Hat reports that an Indonesian tribe is adopting Korea's hangul script for their language, the first time ever, apparently, that hangul has been used for a language other than Korean.

  • Lawyers, Guns and Money's Dave Brockington memorializes the late filmmaker John Hughes of 1980s fame.

  • Open the Future's Jamais Cascio discusses his participation in a Slate series examining how the United States could collapse.

  • Slap Upside the Head celebrates the fact that a woman who said that British Columbia's school system discriminated against non-heterosexual children by not providing so-called "reparative therapy" had her complaint dismissed.

  • Strange Maps hosts an unusual early modern map that shows Europe upside down. Literally.

  • Will Baird at The Dragon's Tales wonders (1, 2) if the Russian elite has decided to adopt Huntington's clash of civilization theory and make Russia into the central state of Orthodox civilization.

  • Noel Maurer reports on a Brazilian plan for a high-speed rail link that actually makes sense economically.

  • The Vanity Press reports on the fact that a faked birth certificate actually belonging to Obama was actually an editing version of South Australian David Jeffrey Bomford.

  • Window on Eurasia suggests that many of the small peoples of Russia's Middle Volga region are upset with Moscow's centralizing and potentially even assimilatory policies, and argues that the Abkhazian/South Ossetian precedent might encourage the peoples of the Russian North Caucasus to break away.

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Tuesday, July 28th, 2009

[LINK] "Canada's Batman of the Balkans"

The Globe and Mail's Julia Belluz explores how Rob Stewart, star of the early 1990s Canadian television show Tropical Heat, became a huge star in Serbia.

Stewart starred as Nick Slaughter, a pony-tailed, hairy-chested private investigator who worked on an island, amid beautiful women in bikinis. He was embarrassed by his acting on the “cheesy show” – which he describes as “a B-version of Magnum, P.I.” and which lasted for only three seasons – until he logged onto Facebook last December and found a fan group called “Tropical Heat/Nick Slaughter” with some 17,000 (mostly Serbian) followers.

[. . .]

With his neighbour, artist and neophyte filmmaker Marc Vespi, and Vespi's sister, Liza, Stewart went to Serbia last month to film a documentary called
Slaughter Nick for President that explores his superstar alter ego.

In Belgrade, they were met with public hysteria. A series of media scrums awaited their arrival, along with groups of fans in tropical shirts (Slaughter's wardrobe staple). Photographers snapped away and then jumped in front of the cameras themselves to get a picture with their national hero.

The anticipation in Serbia had been building since March, when it was leaked to the press that Stewart would perform with a Serbian punk band at its 20th-anniversary concert. “It broke out all over the papers that Nick Slaughter was coming to Serbia,” says Stewart. “It was overwhelming.”

Stewart's Serbian host, prominent political activist Srdja Popovic – whom Stewart had contacted through Facebook – says that after a national newspaper published a photo of him with Stewart, “within 15 minutes, I got 300 calls – everybody asking, ‘Will you introduce me to Nick Slaughter?' and ‘I want a photo with Nick Slaughter.' I couldn't live my normal life.”


It turns out that in the 1990s, Tropical Heat was as popular a television show as any of the South American telenovelas imported at the same time, and as common as any of the nationalist propaganda shows, too. The character even became an icon in the anti-Milosevic opposition movements.

Globalization works in unexpected ways, doesn't it? That's why I like it.
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Thursday, July 23rd, 2009

[LINK] "Visas Eased, Except in Muslim Areas"

Vesna Peric Zimonjic's IPS article highlights the fact that the recent acquisition of European Union by Serbia, Montenegro, and Macedonia has a very unequal effect on the region.

Before 1991, former Yugoslavs enjoyed visa-free travel since the mid-1960s, unlike the nations of what used to be communist Eastern Europe. Generations of Serbs grew up travelling freely abroad, but the young now are almost completely unaware of the benefit.

"It was ok to go to Italy for a weekend when I was young," Bogdan Stevovic (54), a Belgrade teacher, told IPS. "However, my 19-year-old son does not know what it looks like. For a week's holiday in Greece he had to queue the whole night in front of the Greek embassy just to submit his visa request in the morning."

[. . .]

[Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, and Kosovo] were omitted from the EC list for visa-free travel. "These countries have not yet fulfilled the conditions," the EC said in its statement. That meant they had not introduced biometric passports, secured their borders or engaged in a fight against organised crime. Visa-free travel for them could be re-examined by mid-2010, the EC statement said.

There was fierce reaction in Bosnia-Herzegovina, where the EC move was viewed as a political message primarily for Bosniak Muslims, who are the largest ethnic group, that suffered the biggest losses in the 1992-95 war, mostly at the hands of Bosnian Serbs.

"It's further discrimination against us Bosniaks," Sarajevo resident Mirsad Juzbasic told IPS on the phone. "It's a shame after what happened here during the war. We'll remain in a kind of a ghetto."

It's different for Bosnian Croats and Serbs. Both are able to obtain passports from their ethnic mother countries, meaning they can hold dual Bosnian and Croat, or Bosnian and Serb citizenship.

Many Bosnian Croats opted for Croatian passports as far back as the mid- 1990s because Croatia was exempt from the visa introduction in 1991.

Bosnian Serbs have realised now that it's easy for them to obtain Serbian passports. "The only problem is we have to wait for Serbian citizenship for 15 months," Jelena Stojkovic (24) told IPS on phone from Banja Luka, capital of Republika Srpska, the ethnic Serb entity within Bosnia. "But it will be good for us. We can see what Europe looks like now."

Ethnic Albanians in Kosovo, who declared independence in what Serbia officially considers its southern province in February 2008, are regarded by Serbia as its citizens, but Serbia is unable to provide biometric passports because it has no jurisdiction over the province – even if the ethnic Albanians would want to travel on a Serbian passport.
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Thursday, November 20th, 2008

[BRIEF NOTE] Good bye to the Yugo

The lineage of the humble Yugo subcompact automobile has come to an end

[T]he last Yugo, once the pride of communist Yugoslavia's automobile industry, will roll off its Serbian production line today in the central town of Kragujevac.

It will be missed here--but probably not in America.

Soon after it hit the U.S. markets in 1986, selling for just $3,990 (U.S.), the boxy Yugo was derided by American car magazines "as barely qualifying as a car" and "an assembled bag of nuts and bolts."

U.S. owners complained of frequent engine failures and transmission problems--with the manual gear sticks sometimes detaching and ending up in their drivers' hands--in addition to passenger doors and trim parts going AWOL.

When the U.S. Insurance Institute for Highway Safety conducted crash tests of 23 compacts in 1986, the car with the worst results was the Yugo, with $2,197 worth of damage in slow speed crashes against a flat barrier.

Still, more than 100,000 Yugo GVs--standing for Great Value--were sold in the U.S. before Yugo America, the company that imported it, went bankrupt and Washington imposed economic sanctions on Belgrade for fomenting ethnic wars in the Balkans in 1992.
.

Alan Cowell at The New York Times links the Yugo to other Soviet-bloc automobiles, like Czechoslovakia's Skoda, the Soviet Lada, and East Germany's Trabant, as a cherished status symbol, if one that was ultimately inferior to its western European counterparts. The replacement of the Yugo model with other cars is notable mainly for its lateness, although the technology may survive in one form or another--one news source suggests that the Democratic Republic of Congo might take up the torch.
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Wednesday, September 10th, 2008

[BRIEF NOTE] On distance and ethnic cleansing

Two recent articles from The New York Times touching on the aftermath of the recent war in Georgia have caught my attention. Ellen Barry's "Soviet Union’s Fall Unraveled Enclave in Georgia" takes a look at the course of South Ossetia's alienation from Georgia as experienced by Ossetian Ireya Alborova.

It is not easy for Ireya Alborova to root through the events that cracked this city in half, but one small bright memory stands out from 1989, when she glanced at the building across the street from her high school and spotted a flag.

[. . .]

In the Georgian capital, Tbilisi, some 50 miles to the southeast, Georgia’s first post-Soviet leader was emerging. Zviad Gamsakhurdia, a longtime anti-Soviet dissident, based his campaign for the presidency on a vaulting Georgian nationalism — an idea powerful enough to fill the vacuum left by Communism’s collapse.

The platform, known as Georgia for the Georgians, cast ethnic Georgians, who made up 70 percent of the population, as the country’s true masters. Mr. Gamsakhurdia derided South Ossetians as newcomers, saying they had arrived only 600 years ago and as tools of the Soviet Union.

On the street in Tskhinvali, small changes began to appear.

Ms. Alborova’s aunt was exasperated to go to the store and see that pasta manufactured in Russia had been put in packages labeled with Georgian script. Her neighbor Emma Gasiyeva kept hearing slogans: “Brush them out with a broom!” and “Who are the guests, and who are the hosts?” a reference to the theory that Ossetians had been brought to the area as agricultural workers.

The government in Tbilisi established Georgian as the country’s principal language, enraging the Ossetians, whose first two languages were Russian and Ossetian. A few months later, more than 10,000 Georgian demonstrators were transported to Tskhinvali in buses and encircled the city, until they were repelled by Ossetian irregulars and Soviet troops. A true war began in 1991, when thousands of Georgian soldiers entered Tskhinvali. The city was shelled almost nightly from the Georgian-held highlands, and Medeya Alborova recalls holding pillows over her teenage daughters’ heads, as if that could protect them.

When Mrs. Alborova got to Tbilisi to see her relatives, it was like stepping into a parallel universe. She sat with them watching news on Georgian television, as the announcer recited a litany of crimes committed by Ossetians against Georgians. At times, she said, she was not sure she was on the right side of the conflict.


Dan Bilefsky and Michael Schwirtz's "Within a Russian-Infused Culture, a Complex Reckoning After a War" takes a look at Georgia's complex relationship with Russian culture and the Russian language, and at

“Georgians have always had a deep affection for Russian people and Russian culture going back centuries,” said Mr. Varsimashvili, speaking in fluent Russian at his theater in a multiethnic neighborhood of Tbilisi plastered with posters showing graphic pictures of Georgians bombed in the recent war.

“We perceive a modern Russia that is big and sometimes monstrous,” he said. “But the difference between Georgians and Russians is that we have never mistaken the Russian people for the Russian government.”

[. . .]

Yet the reality here is more complex. Although the Georgian government has spent the years since the Soviet Union fell promoting Georgian identity, Georgian society remains infused with an appreciation for Russian culture that Georgian sociologists and historians say will outlive this latest round of tensions.

A monument to Alexander Pushkin, a Russian poet and icon who once visited Tbilisi for inspiration, stands in a park just off Freedom Square in the city. Georgian television channels routinely broadcast old Russian films, kiosks sell Russian-language fashion magazines and Russian pop music blares from taxi radios. While Georgians proudly cling to their distinct centuries-old language, Russian is the second language here.

[. . .]

“We hate the policies of the Russian government, but we do not hate the Russian people,” said Zura Pushauvi, looking over the rubble of his bombed-out casino in Gori, a central Georgian city. A statue of Stalin, Georgia’s best-known son, peered from outside a shattered window. “This war was a spat between two global powers. It was not an ethnic war between Georgians and Russians.”

[. . .]

Some ethnic Russians living in Georgia, of which there are around 70,000, said the war had forced them to choose sides. Nadejna Diakonova-Giuashvili, an ethnic Russian whose late husband was a Georgian officer in the Russian Army, recently escaped to a refugee center in Gori after fleeing from her bombed-out Georgian village near South Ossetia. She said she was now ashamed to be Russian.

“I’m so ashamed to look in the eyes of my neighbors after what Russia has done,” she said, speaking in both Russian and Georgian. “I only learned my husband was Georgian when he signed his name on the marriage registry the day we were married,” she said. “He spoke fluent Russian, and he tricked me. But I didn’t care. We have the same blood.”

Some ethnic Russians here said bubbling anti-Russian sentiment had forced them to conceal their Russian identity, even as they insisted they had no intention of leaving Georgia, where they had lived for decades.

Vera Tsereteli, who moved from Moscow to Tbilisi more than 30 years ago, said her Georgian friends still greeted her with a kiss even as they teased her by calling her an “occupier.” She is unable to speak Georgian, and she said she was now wary of speaking Russian in public.

[. . .]

“During Soviet times, it was prestigious to speak Russian and a sign of being educated and refined,” she said. “Now, Russia is associated with occupation, annexation and refugees.”

Irina Minasyan, a Russian-speaking Georgian of Armenian descent, said she feared her 13-year-old son, Edgar, could face limited career prospects because he attended a Russian school in Tbilisi. “A lot of people have switched their children from Russian to Georgian schools since the war began,” she said. “The young generation is anti-Russian, and I worry about Edgar’s future.”


The intensity of ethnic warfare in a particular region varies according to the distance from the battlefield. In a South Ossetia marked by bitter disputes between neighbourhoods and even between family members, the net result of the Ossetian victory is the (likely) permanent displacement of ethnic Georgians from their territory. In Tbilisi, spared the direct impact of warfare in bouts of ethnic warfare, ethnic Russians and other Russophones survive more-or-less well. This is common throughout: In the former Yugoslavia, the only ethnic cleansings of ethnic minorities in inner Serbia or Vojvodina occurred in the Croat villages f the Vojvodina and perhaps in the intimidation of Muslims in the Sanjak area, while the bodies of ethnic Albanians who, massacred, were dumped into various bodies of water in inner Serbia came not from Belgrade or Kragujevac or Novi Sad but from Kosovo.
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Tuesday, September 2nd, 2008

[LINK] "Things have changed"

The Prague Post features the commentary "Times Have Changed" by Srdjan Jovanović, a doctoral student in the Czech Republic from Serbia, comparing and contrasting the trajectories of the Czech Republic and Serbia over the past half-century. The Czechs once lived in a repressive Communist state isolated from the world while Serbia lived in a liberal enough Communist state open to the same world. Times, obviously, have changed.

While the Czechs debate the merits of the Lisbon Treaty, Serbia’s dark side was back in the news last month with the capture of fugitive war crimes suspect Radovan Karadžić.

Not too long ago, things were much different. If I hadn’t personally witnessed the situation as it was and is (in both Serbia and the Czech Republic), it would be hard to believe, but I have, and it seems clear that roles have been reversed.

A friend from Belgrade speaks of an acquaintance, a Serb from Novi Sad who went to Czechoslovakia — some three decades ago, able to travel with the so-called “red Yugoslav passport” — and fell in love with a girl. The couple promptly got married and moved back to Novi Sad to settle down. She soon gave birth to a baby boy. A few years passed and she received Yugoslav citizenship and the valuable red passport. Within months, she was off with her new travel papers, leaving husband and child forever, never to be heard from again.

Today, a Czech seeking Serbian citizenship would be considered insane. The Czech Republic is a part of the European Union and faring well, all things considered. Serbia, on the other hand, has in the past few decades gone through at least four wars and remains mired in conservative nationalism and religion. Since communism’s collapse, the two countries have gone completely separate ways. Czechs chose progress; Serbs chose madness. The diverging paths emerged quickly, leading to the questions: How did this happen? What’s next for Serbia? Are their lessons to be learned from the Czech path?


Jovanović isn't hopeful that Serbia's trajectory will change enough.
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Thursday, August 28th, 2008

[NEWS] Some Thursday links

I haven't posted enough links to articles from Inter Press Service, have I?


  • Kalinga Seneviratne in "Population Decline - Enter the Matchmaker" takes a look at how, instead of doing anything to alleviate conditions of gender inequality and economic hardship that help discourage family formation, the Singaporean government is trying to promote matchmakers as a useful new tool for boosting the birth rate.

  • Zoltán Dujisin's "How the Hawks Won" makes a direct connection between Saakaashvili's recently increasing authoritarianism at home and his recent appalling poor performance in the recent war in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. If those two territories-soon-to-be-countries distrusted Georgina promises before ...

  • Mario Osava in "The Complications of Coming into Sudden (Oil) Wealth" examines how Brazilians and their government are thinking about regulating the revenues set to be produced by Brazil's massive new offshore oil. Demagoguery is a well-justified fear.

  • Zoltán Dujisin in "Russian Language Toned Down: takes a look at recent trend in language policy and use in Ukraine, where education and other government facilities has been steadily Ukrainianized even as most of the mass media and business remain Russophone, and knowledge and use of the Ukrainian language are growing particularly among the young and in southern Ukraien. (After the fall of the Soviet Union Russophones and Ukrainopphones were roughly equally as numerous.)

  • Vesna Peric Zimonjic writes ("Uneasy Over the Kosovo Parallel With Georgia") about how public opinion in Serbia, while broadly supportive of Russia, are concerned about the certain associations that the precedent of recognizing the independence of a territory liberated by foreign intervention from ethnic cleansing and a threatened genocide have with their own recent history. Kosovars, for their part, deny the relevance of South Ossetia and Abkhazia to their situation.

  • Lowana Veal's "Filling Up on Hydrogen" takes a look at how, thanks in no small measure to cheap and abundant geothermal energy, hydrogen-fuelled cars and boats are starting to appeal in some number.

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Sunday, May 18th, 2008

[LINK] "The Most Important European Emigrant of 2008"

Over at A Fistful of Euros, Douglas Muir asks what, exactly, it means that the designers of Grand Theft Auto IV chose as their protagonist Niko Bellic, a Serb (a Bosnian Serb, to be precise).

[I]s this a simple-minded decision, reflecting a vulgar stereotype of Serbs as violent thugs with a taste for organized crime, ignorant peasants who are thrown into culture shock in the modern world? Or is it an inspired choice, allowing the writers to make the protagonist character more complex and morally ambiguous, and position him as a "fish out of water" observer of the madness that’s modern American street life?

Note that Niko Bellic is not inherently evil. Nor unsympathetic. In fact, you can play him as a hero, albeit a rather noir one. (Yes, you can also go around killing people at random, but that’s your problem, not Niko’s.) And he’s presented as likable, and even--in the first few episodes--somewhat innocent.

On the other hand, providing the protagonist of Grand Theft Auto is not exactly a point of national pride. Niko is now the planet’s most famous Serb, and he’s a small-time crook with issues.


Some of the speculation in the comments area suggests that the Balkans might play a useful role for game designers and others of that like, as the collapse and subsequent criminalization of much of the region produced a criminal class that is--most conveniently--white.
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Monday, May 12th, 2008

[BRIEF NOTE] Serbia's nice elections news

Over the weekend Serbia had its most recent parliamentary elections, and the news is good.

Pro-Western forces in Serbia began tough talks on Monday to cobble together a coalition, after the electoral commission confirmed they scored an upset poll victory over nationalist rivals.

President Boris Tadic's "For a European Serbia" alliance garnered 38.8 percent in Sunday's parliamentary elections dominated by the issue of Serbian ties with the European Union.

While short of an absolute majority, the alliance was well ahead of the ultra-nationalist Radical Party on 29.2 percent, said the commission.

There had been predictions of a possible nationalist backlash over widespread EU support for the independence of Serbia's breakaway province of Kosovo.

In the end, the result "undoubtedly confirmed a clear European path," Tadic said at his Democratic Party campaign headquarters.

"The Democratic Party will be the key player in the future cabinet," said the president, refusing to reveal who might be his prime minister.

"The negotiations will not be easy (but) I warn everyone not to play with the electoral will of the citizens and try to take Serbia back to the isolation of the 1990s," he said in reference to the hardline regime of late president Slobodan Milosevic.

The Democrats' expected coalition partners include the Socialist Party of Serbia, founded by Milosevic, and/or the Liberal Democratic Party, whose leader Cedomir Jovanovic negotiated the late strongman's arrest in 2001.


While it's disturbing that the Radical Party, founded by a man, Vojislav Seselj who is a proponent of eye-gouging, ranks second by popularity in Serbia, it's very good news indeed that the most popular political party in Serbia and the one most likely to form the government is a normal political party. Now Serbia has a fighting chance of catching up to Bulgaria.
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Tuesday, March 18th, 2008

[BRIEF NOTE] Canada recognizes Kosovo

On the same day Japan recognized Kosovo earlier today, Canada followed suit, Foreign Minister Maxine Bernier making it clear that the Canadian government doesn't see the particular route by which Kosovo gained independence as a precedent for Québec or any other secessionist territory.

Canada on Tuesday formally recognized Kosovo's independence, but stressed it was not setting a precedent to be exploited by the Quebec separatist movement.

The move swiftly triggered an angry response from Belgrade which recalled its ambassador to Ottawa in protest, as world powers called for calm after some of the worst violence since Kosovo unilaterally declared independence from Serbia last month.

"Today, we joined the international community and recognized Kosovo as a new state," Foreign Affairs Minister Maxime Bernier told public broadcaster CBC, a day after Serbs clashed with UN police in the town of Kosovska Mitrovica.

However, Bernier made it clear that Kosovo's new nation status was a "unique case" which would have no bearing on the aspirations of Quebec nationalists to split from the rest of Canada.

"As the declaration issued by Kosovo's parliament also makes clear, the unique circumstances which have led to Kosovo's independence mean it does not constitute any kind of precedent," Bernier said in a statement.

"Statements made by other countries recognizing Kosovo's independence have echoed this point."

"You cannot compare that with Quebec," he told CBC.


Serbia's ambassador to Canada, historian and writer Dušan T. Bataković (personal homepage, Wikipedia), has been recalled in line with Serbia's policy of withdrawing ambassadors from any country which recognizes Kosovar independence. It's worth noting back in 1998, Bataković came up with a plan for cantonizing Kosovo that would have involved the attachment of the lands of monasteries (including lands lost to land reform after 1941, disproportionately distributed to Albanians) to ethnic Serb cantons and the division of political power 50:50 between Kosovo's two major ethnic groups in all of Kosovo's major cities. (Elsewhere, he said that Serbia should avoid "the completely outdated concept of administrative decision making by simple majority vote.")
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Thursday, March 6th, 2008

[LINK] "Getting Its Story Straight"

Andrea Gregory's Transitions Online article "Getting Its Story Straight" explores the contentions surrounding the teaching of the history of Montenegro in that newly independent country's system of education.

Predrag Raznatovic quickly reads aloud through the part of the history book that states thousands of Montenegrins were killed by Serbs in 1918. He doesn’t believe what he is saying, but he reads it anyway. He is a history teacher.

Raznatovic, who has been teaching for 15 years in Podgorica, uses a relatively new textbook to teach the history of a relatively new country. Although he acknowledges that a history textbook is "a stamp of its time," he argues that "the main agenda of education should be education."

The history teacher and other critics of the new books say they sideline world figures in order to focus on Montenegro and that they distort the history of Serbia, with which Montenegro formed a federation for nearly a century.

The books’ defenders, however, say they are a good-faith attempt to shine a light on Montenegro’s long-overlooked national history.

"These school books are not good for our situation," Raznatovic said. "It’s not good for the future of the relationships between Montenegro and Serbia. "Nationalism is always a really big danger."

Alen Abdomerovic disagrees. At 20, Abdomerovic grew up during the dissolution of Yugoslavia, and the history he learned changed along with the circumstances. Now a proud citizen of a newly independent Montenegro, he said a certain amount of nationalism is appropriate in a country trying to define itself.

Arguing that Serb nationalism swept through the region in the early 1990s, he said, "Now it is Montenegrin nationalism. I think it’s OK for now."

Nor does he have a problem with that nationalism being promoted in textbooks. "I think it’s OK. I think every book you write, it’s good to write pro-something or anti-something to promote something," he said.</i>


History is a particularly touchy issue in Montenegro since various nationalists--Montenegrin nationalists, Serb nationalists--have used elements in the areas history to decide whether or not a Montenegrin nation actually exists, arguing that if (say) in the 15th century no one thought of themselves as belonging to a Montenegrin nation separate from the Serb no nation could exist now. Flawed logic, but if it is what's being used it may as well be dealt with, somehow.
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Wednesday, March 5th, 2008

[MUSIC] Björk, "Declare Independence"



"Declare Independence" is a fairly high-profile single off of Björk's new albums, which lyrics that endorse unilateral declarations of independence and music that is described by one blogger as controversial and intensely polarizing.

"Noisy" doesn’t even begin to describe this track; heavy drums, buzzsaw synths, distorted guitars, and guttural, screaming vocals turn this into the most cacophonous Björk track I’ve ever heard. But cacophonous doesn’t always mean bad; in this case, it actually means brilliant. All the noise melds into a superb dance beat, and the simple, chant-like lyrics work their way into your subconscious, until you’re unknowingly repeating them along with Björk.

Declare Independence is going to be the most controversial track on Volta; it’s probably going to be the most controversial Björk track ever. So far there’s a very clean split between fans. Some love it, some hate it, but barely any don’t feel strongly about it one way or the other.


That doesn't even touch the potential political implications of the song. In a recent concert in Shanghai, Björk seems to have used it as a platform to endorse Tibetan independence.

Icelandic singer Bjork has ignited criticism from Chinese fans after she declared "Tibet! Tibet!" to end a passionate performance of her song "Declare Independence" during a concert in Shanghai.

The outburst at the finale of Bjork's Sunday-night concert drew rare public attention inside China to Beijing's rule over Tibet.

Bjork's statement was not reported in Chinese news media but online sites were aflame with angry comment after word leaked out.

"If she really did this, then this woman really makes people throw up," one comment on popular Chinese website www.Sina.com said.

Some at the Shanghai concert said the politically tinged finale made audience members uneasy.

"The atmosphere was very strange, uncomfortable compared to the rest of the concert," said audience member Stephen Gow, a British teacher who lives in Shanghai.

People didn't boo, Gow said, but they left the Shanghai International Gymnastic Centre hurriedly.

Officials at the China-based company promoting the concert, Emma Ticketmaster, said they had no comment.


The discussion at group blog Danwei is pretty hostile to Björk.

NME also reports that after Björk used "Declare Independence" to endorse Kosovar indepndence on a show in Japan, the EXIT festival in Serbia disinvited her on the grounds that the organizers couldn't guarantee the safety of festival-goers. (A non-denial has since been issued.)
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Friday, February 22nd, 2008

[BRIEF NOTE] Eurovision Song Contest, 2008, in Belgrade (?)

Reading Hunting Monsters, I was surprised to learn that this year's Eurovision Song Contest is slated to be held this year in Belgrade.

As you know, this year's contest is being held in Belgrade, providing a handy opportunity for Serbia to show its non-recognition of Kosovan independence. I do not know what the criteria are for accepting new member states of the Eurovision Song Contest Organisation, but at this short notice it is unlikely that Kosova would be able to join up in time to compete (even allowing for the likely hostility to it from Russia and certain other countries). So we will be spared the possibility of the Serbian presenters refusing to hear the votes of juries for the Kosovan song. But there are other ways in which the contest could be marred by Balkan politics. The introductory bit where the host nation paints a picture of how great and interesting it is could be turned into a whiny nationalist whinge-fest, with a re-enactment of the first battle of Kosovo and loads of maps of Serbia pointedly showing Kosova as still an integral part of the country. Or perhaps the Serbian hosts could refuse to let the songs of Kosova-recognising countries compete.


Elsewhere, in a post on A Fistful of Euros about the attacks on a fair number of foreign embassies in Belgrade by angry protesters, I learned that there has been some talk of moving Eurovision from Belgrade altogether because of security concerns.

Partner website, Gylenneskor.se have stated that a telephone conference between senior EBU officials and reference group members will take place this morning to discuss security concerns about hosting the Eurovision Song Contest in Belgrade after the violence that has occurred in the city over the passed days.

Of main concern is the attacks on foreign embassies by a tiny minority of hooligans yesterday evening. Attacks on foreign buildings and potential harm to foreign nationals is a major concern for the Eurovision Song Contest organisers with thousands of officials from 42 delegations and fans travelling to Belgrade for the competition in May.

Whilst the EBU has yet to confirm that there are any discussions about the possibility of moving the contest to an alternative venue, they are watching developments very closely. Fans planning to travel to the contest are increasingly concerned about personal security issues.

News of the crisis conference came from Misa Molk of Slovenia yesterday. Slovenia's embassy in Belgrade was attacked by a small number of rioters. She is a member of the EBU's Eurovision Song Contest Reference Group and claimed on television that "that EBU now decided itself in order to collect together itself to one urgent telephone conference - a crisis meeting about the imminent risk in order to entire Eurovision Song Contest 2008 now possible must be moved to another country".


It would be a catastrophe for Serbia if Eurovision was moved. It would also be a catastrophe for angry mobs to attack foreign visitors and--who knows?--Eurovision participants. The press reports seem to suggest that the attacks on embassies are being made by just a few people and that the vigilance of the police is, well, somewhat selective, so it seems more likely than not that Eurovision will stay in Belgrade. Besides, where else can it go on such short notice?
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[LINK] Some Friday links


  • Phil Hunt at Amused Cynicism wonders if the European Union, free from the United States' baggage and much closer than China, could give a post-Castro Cuba some sort of protectorate status.

  • The Lounsbury at 'Aqoul observes that al-Jazeerah's coverage of the Kosovo independence celebrations included more than a few pairings of Kosovar and American flags. Good public relations?

  • At Crooked Timber, Christ Bertram's celebratory post on Castro and John Quiggin's more measured consideration of dictatorship might both have generated more heat than light, but there's still enough of the latter there. If you page past the flamewars, that is.

  • Ken MacLeod speculates that Technocracy and science fiction are too close for comfort.

  • Joel at Far Outliers has had a few good Timothy Garton Ash excerpts, including one on Belgrade in 1997, one in Sarajevo in 1995, and one in Kosovo in 1998, one on Bosnia in 1998, and finally, a personal view of Yugoslavia's murder.

  • At Joe. My. God, Rupert Everett is quoted as saying that pride marches have become depoliticized. The blogger and many commenters disagree.

  • In the aftermath of Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's apology to Australian Aborigines, Language Log has its own take on the situation, touching upon Australian Aborigine languages.

  • normblog blogs about Castro's unsurprisingly long period in office and his appropriation of the word "amor."

  • Strange Maps describes the Republic of New Netherlands, population 31.2 million.

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Thursday, February 21st, 2008

[BLOG-LIKE POSTING] A brief demographic history of Kosovo to 1989

Here's my brief effort to come up with a reasonable neutral account of the evolution of Kosovo's population to the end of Communist Yugoslavia. Comments, as always, are welcome.

First, background. )

Now, the first half of the 20th century. )

The birth-rate question in the SFRY. )

Migration under the SFRY. )

What was the net result of these trends? Albanians in Kosovo emerged as a demographically significant population, responsible for a disproportionately large share of the Republic of Serbia's births and an even larger share of its total natural increase. By the late 1980s, this fact, along with growing concern over the "white plague" of low or negative natural increase among Serbs, combined with growing nationalism on all sides and a considerable amount of ethnic to produce an unseemly mess of nationalist hysteria. Reproduction, sexuality, and gender all played major--and unanswerable--roles, as Mark Thompson described in A Paper House.

Facts were scarce amid the delierium, but were hardly the point. Truth was a necessary casualty of this mobilization, and its medium was myth. When one Djordje Martinovic claimed in 1985 that two Kosovars had raped him with a broken bottle, he became a national martyr, an archetype of Serb suffering and Albanian (Muslim, Ottoman ...) evil. A poetry likened him to the Serb rebels impaled by the Turks of old. In due course the courts and medical examiners agreed the man was unbalanced and his wounds were self-inflicted; but who cared?

A Croatian journalist investigated the many allegations that Serb and Montenegrin women were being raped in Kosovo. Records showed no disproportion among Albanian and Slav criminality in the province, and a lower than average number of rapes. Researchers in Belgrade bore the journalist out; but by the time their dull book of statistics was published in 1990, who cared?

If the official figures proved that hundreds of thousands of refugees had
not crept over the border from Albania, and hundreds of thousands of Serbs and Montenegrins had not been scared into fleeing the province, who cared? There was no separatist movement of any substance, but who cared? The Kosovars' weary insistence that separatism was not the issue, only confirmed their perfidy (129-130).


Kosovar separatism soon became an issue, of course. The 1981 popular protests demanding Kosovo be made a republic, one of seven without the SFRY, didn't aim for secession from Yugoslavia. By the time that Yugoslavia was dissolving, the idea of Kosovo gaining independence from a threatening Serbia seemed like a good idea.
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Monday, February 18th, 2008

[BRIEF NOTE] What do you think about Kosovo's declaration of independence?

Yesterday's declaration of independence has met with a mixed global reaction, but general recognition isn't far off. Most of the member-states of the European Union, including Britain, France, Italy and Germany, are planning to announce their recognition of Kosovo's independence, alongside extra-regional countries like the United States and perhaps Japan, and Muslim countries of note like Turkey and Saudi Arabia. The result? A state with an international status that Douglas Muir called a "Balkan Taiwan", a state that enjoys recognition from most of its neighbours and the European Union and with many other countries, but which lacks recognition from other major powers (Russia, China) along with international institutions like the United Nations.

My opinion? Yugoslavia was an idea that worked quite well for a time, and could have worked better if not for first and foremost paranoid Serb nationalism that helped destroy a promising upper-middle multiethnic income country. Had Yugoslavia survived, would almost certainly have joined the European Union at least as early as the big bang accession of 2004. Serb nationalism as applied to ethnic Albanians was particularly destructive, reducing them almost to the level of Morlocks as Vladimir Arsenijevic described in his essay "Our negroes, our enemies". In the light of this and the general unwillingness of anyone living in either Serbia or Kosovo to exist in multiethnic societies, a separation of Kosovo from a Serbia strikes me as probably the least bad solution.

As for the international consequences, eh. There are plenty of frozen conflicts in the post-Soviet world and elsewhere. Maybe, under supervision, they should start to thaw.

Your thoughts?
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Friday, February 1st, 2008

[BRIEF NOTE] Vojvodina Notes

A new article at Balkan Insight, Neil MacDonald's "Serbia Luring ‘Brownfield’ Investors", caught my eye the other day. In the autonomous Serbian province of Vojvodina, "brownfield" investments in an idle and decayed industrial economy seem to be taking off.

Strong economic growth forecasts, continued flows of remittances from Serbs working abroad--often used to finance homebuilding--and Serbia’s gradual progress toward membership in the European Union all make Windisch optimistic about the domestic building materials market.

While Serbian economic officials talk frequently about attracting "greenfield" investors, many foreign investors have opted for a less dramatic entry into the southeast European market of 8 million.

"Brownfield" investment in existing factories, warehouses or other industrial assets is a faster, lower-cost way to seek earnings from the former Yugoslavia’s massive, if decayed, industrial capacity.

Weinerberger first set up a Serbian sales office at the end of 2006 and last month purchased 100 percent of IGM Backa Nova, the local private company behind the Mali Idjos brick factory. The price, though undisclosed, was right for a "mid-sized old plant" with "a reliable basis for development," Windisch says.

Far from crumbling or moth-balled, the Mali Idjos plant with 50 workers reported revenues of 2 million euros last year. Weinerberger intends to hire 100 more workers.

Nowhere is successful "brownfield" investment more prevalent in Serbia than in Vojvodina. Weinerberger’s investment is one of countless examples in the northern autonomous province, traditionally the country’s strongest industrial area.

Since October 2000, Vojvodina has regained fiscal autonomy from Belgrade. More recently, since May 2004 when the EU launched its waves of enlargement into post-communist Europe, Vojvodina has gained common borders with two EU countries, Hungary and Romania.

"Vojvodina is from our point of view a market with prospects of good development in the future," Windisch says.


Vojvodina has always been a region with experiences diverging from that of Serbia proper, these experiences rooted in a particularly complex local history as described in Brian J Pozun's 2000 "A New Sky Over Serbia".

For a long time, there has been an academic controversy over whether the Serbs or the Hungarians were the land's original inhabitants. In 1918, the region became part of the Kingdom of the Serbs, Croats and Slovenes, later Yugoslavia, but until then it had been part of the Hapsburgs' Austrian Empire.

Proud of their Hapsburg, Central European culture, the residents of Vojvodina distance themselves from the rest of Serbia, feeling closer cultural affinity to Croatia, Slovenia, Hungary and other former Hapsburg areas. One ethnologist found the Vojvodinian ideal to be fini ljudi, in other words, cultured and civilized. Vojvodinians put their fini ljudi concept in diametric opposition to their prejudice of the uncivilized "Balkan" types to the south.

Vojvodina became an autonomous province of Serbia under the terms of the 1974 constitution, together with Kosovo and Metohija. De jure, it was still part of the republic of Serbia, but de facto, it functioned as a full-fledged republic. Five nationalities were accorded the status of "titular nationality:" Serbs, Hungarians, Slovaks, Romanians and Rusyns.


This autonomy was eventually revoked under pressure from Milosevic in the late 1980s, and Vojvodina effectively subsumed Republic of Serbia. At the beginning of the Yugoslav wars, as outlined in a CSIS commentary from 1991, Vojvodina had prospered quite nicely: GDP per capita in the richest Yugoslav republic, Slovenia, was $US 12 618, Croatia ranked second at $7 179, Vojvodina came a close third to Croatia at $6 949, GDP per capita in Serbia proper was $4 870, and GDP per capita in Yugoslavia as a whole was $5 434.

This prosperity soon came to an end. As Vladimir Gligorov notes in his essay "Southeast Europe: A History of Divergence" (PDF format), the stresses of war and sanctions created a massive economic collapse in Vojvodina, with gross social product per capita slipping from 60% of Slovenia's at the beginning of the 1990s to a mere quarter at the decade's end. Multiethnic Vojvodina was fortunate to avoid the warfare that hit other Yugoslav territories, and many ethnic Serb refugees from the lost wars were resettled in Vojvodina, perhaps attracted by an average level of income perhaps a quarter higher than that of Serbia proper.

A Vojvodina that borders directly onto the European Union member-states of Romania and Hungary, and the prospective European Union member-state of Croatia, has obvious potential. Before 1991, Vojvodina was one of the wealthiest regions in that part of Europe. Assuming a stable political environment, quite a lot of catch-up growth could be possible. That, unfortunately, is a big assumption: Tomislav Nikolic might be in the lead in the next round of Serbia's presidential elections.
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Thursday, January 24th, 2008

[LINK] Russia, Serbia, and natural gas nationalism

Veronica Khokhlova at Global Voices Online links links to two blog entries about Gazprom's recent purchase of a 51% stake in Serbia's national oil company, written by Robet Amsterdam at his blog and Douglas Muir at A Fistful of Euros. Both authors are highly critical of Serbia's politics-driven sale of the core of its national energy infrastructure to Gazprom, under conditions highly favourable to Gazprom (a majority stake sold for a fraction of below market value, under terms prohibiting the Serbian government from selling off its stock without Gazprom's consent).
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